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By Brian Joura
At the end of the projection piece on Kodai Senga for the 2023 season was this bit,
My opinion is that if he’s able to throw strikes, he’s going to dominate. If he has the WHIP that ZiPS forecasts, he’ll have a sub-3.00 ERA. Here’s my totally biased forecast for Senga this year:
155 IP, 3.25 ERA, 1.200 WHIP, 180 Ks, 13 HR
The ZiPS forecast had a 1.08 WHIP for Senga and a 3.46 ERA. Currently, Senga has a 1.249 WHIP and a 3.19 ERA. And that ERA puts him fifth in the National League. You need 1 IP for each game played to qualify for the ERA title, so it’s going to go down to the wire to see if Senga will have enough innings to officially be included among the league leaders. With the reduced innings of SP in 21st Century MLB, this rule may be adjusted in the near future. But whether he qualifies for the ERA title this year or not, Senga has been an unqualified success.
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