Free Link to Mets360: What if the Mets added only one SP in the offseason?

 


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By Brian Joura

We all want the Mets to be active in free agency and begin the 2024 season with five starters capable of making 30 starts, providing they remained healthy. We thought that’s what the Mets had coming into 2023 but remaining healthy – and still on the team past the trade deadline – proved easier said than done. But how realistic is it for teams to have five pitchers make 30 starts? Most of you reading this will probably say to yourself – not likely at all. If that’s the case, why make it a goal before the season starts?

Focusing on full-season results and combining starts for two and three-team players, there were 117 starting pitchers who threw at least 100 IP, with the fewest starts being 19 by the Yankees’ Domingo German. If those were distributed evenly among the 30 clubs, that means that teams would have roughly 3.5 starters to throw at least 100 IP. Since a team can’t have half a pitcher – in this exercise, at least – perhaps we should say that they would have either three or four starters reach this threshold.

The 2023 Mets had four – Kodai SengaTylor MegillMax Scherzer and David Peterson. Clearly, they weren’t the four pitchers the Mets would have preferred but they had four nonetheless. And that was with the injuries and the trades. For what it’s worth, the Mets had two more starters with IP totals in the 90s. Those six pitchers combined for 687.2 IP. Is that good? Off the top of my head, that seems like a middle-of-the road total.

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